This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 43% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points betterwon 50%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 43% to break even | 39%–78% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 43% to break even | 35%–88% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 43% to break even | 32%–74% | 11 points betterwon 54%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 11 of 1958%needs 43% to break even | 39%–74% | 15 points betterwon 58%, needs 43% |
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 65.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 65.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 93 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET |
| 60 |
| -5.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 73 | +7.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 84 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 57 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 66 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 51 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 75 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 45 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 55 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 81 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | 72 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 77 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 89 | +23.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 61 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 38 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 49 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 79 | +13.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 79 | +13.5 | Won |
| 4 of 13· last season31%needs 35% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -22.7Not beating its price |
| Under 56.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.7Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 5 of 13· last season38%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 51% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -109at Bally Bet | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 52% to break even | -24.8Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 57% to break even | -28.4Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 60% to break even | -30.7Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 62% to break even | -32.3Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 64% to break even | -33.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even |
| -12.2Not beating its price |
| TXST -13.5 1st half spreadTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 39% to break even | -13.1Not beating its price |
| TXST -20.5 spreadTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 36% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 39% to break even | -15.2Not beating its price |
| TXST -9.5 1st half spreadTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 41.5 team totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 38% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
| Over 12.5 1st quarter totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 63% to break even | -16.3Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 3rd quarter totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 59% to break even | -16.7Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 48% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| TXST -13.5 spreadTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | NV-104at Novig | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 51% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| TXST -7.5 1st half spreadTexas State Bobcats · Tomorrow 7:30 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 52% to break even | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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