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NCAAFGame lineSpread
TXST -20.5 (spread)
Won5 of 10last 10 games · 50%
Best price+181Kalshi
Price needs35.6%wins to break even
Every game7 of 19this season and last
Trend score-13.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 36% to break even | 27%–73% | 14 points betterwon 50%, needs 36% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 36% to break even | 12%–65% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% |
| Last season | 5 of 1338%needs 36% to break even | 20%–61% | 3 points betterwon 38%, needs 36% |
| Every game | 7 of 1937%needs 36% to break even | 21%–56% | 1 points betterwon 37%, needs 36% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
TXST -20.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against txst -20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  CSU | 39 | +18.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  SDSU | -2 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  UIW | 53 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  UNT | 14 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UTSA | -5 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 |  TEX | -52 | -72.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  RICE | 31 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  USA | 23 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ULM | 17 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  USM | 27 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  UL | -3 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 |  JMU | -32 | -52.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  MRSH | -3 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TROY | -7 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 |  ARST | -1 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NICH | 32 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ASU | -19 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | UTSA | 7 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  EMU | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Texas State Bobcats in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.