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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
TXST 1H -7.5 (1st half spread)
Won4 of 5last 5 games · 80%
Best price-107Kalshi
Price needs51.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 19this season and last
Trend score-17.4Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 5 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 52% to break even | 15%–54% | 21 points shortwon 31%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 52% to break even | 26%–61% | 10 points shortwon 42%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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TXST 1H -7.5 (1st half spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against txst 1h -7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 |  CSU | 24 | +16.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 |  SDSU | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 |  UIW | 32 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  UNT | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UTSA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  TEX | -21 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 |  RICE | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 |  USA | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  ULM | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 |  USM | 27 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  UL | -18 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 |  JMU | -8 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  MRSH | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  TROY | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  ARST | 0 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  NICH | 25 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  ASU | -17 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | UTSA | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  EMU | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Texas State Bobcats in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.