This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 50% to break even | 35%–88% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 4 of 1331%needs 50% to break even | 15%–54% | 19 points shortwon 31%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 8 of 1942%needs 50% to break even | 26%–61% | 8 points shortwon 42%, needs 50% |
Tonight TXST plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against USU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against txst 1h -9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 15 | 24 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET |
| 14 |
| +4.5 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 32 | +22.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -21 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 2 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 27 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -18 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | -8 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 4 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 14 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 | 0 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +15.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | -17 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 6 of 6· this season100%needs 63% to break even |
| Record is this season's |
| -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 37% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 43% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Over 59.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 57% to break even | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 46% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 47% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 49% to break even | -13.0Not beating its price |
| TXST -20.5 spreadTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 36% to break even | -13.6Not beating its price |
| Over 61.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 51% to break even | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 game total, TXST gamesTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 55% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 1st half totalTexas State Bobcats · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 40% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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