This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 43% to break even | 7%–46% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 43% to break even | 4%–50% | 26 points shortwon 17%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 4 of 1429%needs 43% to break even | 14%–51% | 14 points shortwon 29%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 5 of 2025%needs 43% to break even | 13%–43% | 18 points shortwon 25%, needs 43% |
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against under 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 60 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 1 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 59.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 89 |
| -29.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 77 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 84 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 50 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 68 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 96 | -36.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 55 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 77 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 80 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 77 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 48 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 74 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 72 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 | 99 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 58 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 83 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 69 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 63 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 51 | +8.5 | Won |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 60% to break even |
| -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 60.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 58% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 61.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 55% to break even | -10.0Not beating its price |
| Over 62.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Over 63.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 49% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even |
| 8.7Strong |
| Over 37.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | 5.2Good |
| Over 31.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | 3.0Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| UNT -6.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| UNT -7.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| UNT -4.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| UNT -6.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -3.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| UNT to win moneylineNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | NV-125at Novig | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| UNT -5.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.