This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 42% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 42% to break even | 27%–86% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 42% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 42% to break even | 39%–78% | 18 points betterwon 60%, needs 42% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 42% to break even | 22%–78% | 8 points betterwon 50%, needs 42% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 42% to break even | 49%–86% | 30 points betterwon 71%, needs 42% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 42% to break even | 47%–80% | 23 points betterwon 65%, needs 42% |
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unt -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 40 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET |
| 1 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Sep 26 | 49 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -14 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +32.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -36 | -41.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | -13 | -18.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 27 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 32 | +26.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 29 | +23.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 34 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 38 | +32.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | -27 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 49 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 51 | +45.5 | Won |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even |
| 8.7Strong |
| Over 37.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | 5.2Good |
| Over 31.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even | 3.0Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| UNT -6.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| Over 68.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| UNT -4.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| UNT -3.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| UNT to win moneylineNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | NV-125at Novig | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 64.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Tomorrow 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 48% to break even | -5.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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