This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 56% to break even | 44%–87% | 14 points betterwon 70%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 56% to break even | 52%–87% | 18 points betterwon 73%, needs 56% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 56% to break even | 35%–88% | 11 points betterwon 67%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 12 of 1486%needs 56% to break even | 65%–95% | 30 points betterwon 86%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 56% to break even | 62%–91% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against unt to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 | 40 | +40 | Won | |
| Oct 1 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET |
| 1 |
| +1 |
| Won |
| Sep 26 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Sep 19 | -14 | -14 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 38 | +38 | Won |
| Sep 5 | -36 | -36 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 2 | +2 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -13 | -13 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 27 | +27 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 32 | +32 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 29 | +29 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 34 | +34 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 38 | +38 | Won |
| Oct 10 | -27 | -27 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 14 | +14 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +7 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 49 | +49 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 3 | +3 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 51 | +51 | Won |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 46% to break even |
| 8.7Strong |
| Over 37.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 36% to break even | 5.2Good |
| Over 31.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even | 3.8Good |
| Over 30.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| UNT -6.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.1Slight |
| UNT -7.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.6Not beating its price |
| Over 68.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 39% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 65.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 44% to break even | -2.7Not beating its price |
| UNT -4.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| UNT -6.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +155at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| UNT -3.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Sat, Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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