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NCAAFGame line1st half spread
UNT 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)
Won10 of 14last season · 71%
Best price+143Polymarket
Price needs41.2%wins to break even
Every game13 of 20this season and last
Trend score-4.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 41% to break even | 27%–86% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 41% to break even | 39%–78% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 41% to break even | 22%–78% | 9 points betterwon 50%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 10 of 1471%needs 41% to break even | 49%–86% | 30 points betterwon 71%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 13 of 2065%needs 41% to break even | 47%–80% | 24 points betterwon 65%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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UNT 1H -3.5 (1st half spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H margin in each game against unt 1h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 10 |  CLT | 30 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 |  TLSA | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 |  HCU | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 |  TXST | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  UNLV | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  IU | -18 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 |  SDSU | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 |  TULN | -17 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  TEM | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 |  RICE | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  UAB | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  NAVY | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | CLT | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 |  UTSA | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 |  USF | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  USA | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  ARMY | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  WSU | 39 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  WMU | -10 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  LAM | 37 | +33.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on North Texas Mean Green in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.