This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 59% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 59% to break even | 44%–95% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% | 72total points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 59% to break even | 54%–93% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% | 73.6total points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 59% to break even | 59%–92% | 21 points betterwon 80%, needs 59% | 73.7total points |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 59% to break even | 50%–96% | 25 points betterwon 83%, needs 59% | 71.3total points |
| Last season |
Tonight UNT plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against NAVY. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 8 of 9 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 59.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 59.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 56.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 34.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · |
| 10 of 1471%needs 59% to break even |
| 49%–86% |
| 13 points betterwon 71%, needs 59% |
| 71.6total points |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 59% to break even | 57%–87% | 16 points betterwon 75%, needs 59% | 71.5total points |
| Oct 10 | 60 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 1 | 89 | +29.5 | Won |
| Sep 26 | 77 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 84 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 50 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 68 | +8.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 27 | 96 | +36.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 55 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 77 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | 80 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 77 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 48 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 74 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 72 | +12.5 | Won |
| Oct 10 | 99 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 58 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 83 | +23.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | 69 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 63 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 51 | -8.5 | Lost |
| +159at Kalshi |
| 3 of 14· last season21%needs 39% to break even1 of 9 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -25.5Not beating its price |
| Under 59.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 4 of 14· last season29%needs 45% to break even1 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Under 60.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 48% to break even1 of 9 on the road | -27.9Not beating its price |
| Under 61.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 51% to break even1 of 9 on the road | -30.6Not beating its price |
| Under 62.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV-102at Novig | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even1 of 9 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Under 63.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 56% to break even2 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
| Under 64.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 58% to break even2 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
| Under 65.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 14· last season36%needs 61% to break even2 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -37.2Not beating its price |
| Under 68.5 game total, UNT gamesNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 3 of 6· this season50%needs 67% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is this season's | -38.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +109at Kalshi |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 48% to break even6 of 9 on the road |
| 6.9Good |
| Over 37.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 37% to break even5 of 9 on the road | 4.3Good |
| Over 32.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 54% to break even7 of 9 on the road | 3.3Good |
| Over 31.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even7 of 9 on the road | 3.0Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 13 of 14· last season93%needs 62% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| UNT -6.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 38% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| UNT -9.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 35% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| UNT -8.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +185at Polymarket | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 35% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.2Not beating its price |
| UNT -7.5 spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 9 of 14· last season64%needs 38% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.2Not beating its price |
| UNT -4.5 1st half spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 42% to break even3 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| UNT -0.5 1st quarter spreadNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 47% to break even3 of 9 on the road | -5.5Not beating its price |
| UNT to win moneylineNorth Texas Mean Green · Today 3:30 PM ET | NV-130at Novig | 12 of 14· last season86%needs 57% to break even6 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -6.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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