This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 4100%needs 66% to break even | 60%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 989%needs 66% to break even | 62%–97% | 23 points betterwon 89%, needs 66% |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1493%needs 66% to break even | 73%–98% | 27 points betterwon 93%, needs 66% |
| This season | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% |
| Last season | 13 of 1493%needs 66% to break even | 73%–98% | 27 points betterwon 93%, needs 66% |
| Every game | 17 of 1989%needs 66% to break even | 73%–96% | 24 points betterwon 89%, needs 66% |
Tonight DUKE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UVA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 42, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 42 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 44 | +2 | Won | |
| Oct 10 | 53 | +11 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 69 | +27 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 42 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 12 | 58 | +16 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 20 | -22 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | 81 | +39 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 47 | +5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 81 | +39 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 57 | +15 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 51 | +9 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 71 | +29 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 91 | +49 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 45 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 66 | +24 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 41 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 20 | 78 | +36 | Won | |
| Sep 13 | 61 | +19 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 64 | +22 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | 62 | +20 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.