Trojans games over 50.5: 7 of 10

How often it won

This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.

Games	Record	Likely win rate	Compared with the price
Last 5 games	4 of 580%needs 50% to break even	44%–95%	30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50%
Last 10 games	7 of 1070%needs 50% to break even	44%–87%	20 points betterwon 70%, needs 50%
Last 15 games	9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even	39%–78%	10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50%
This season	5 of 771%needs 50% to break even	41%–90%	21 points betterwon 71%, needs 50%
Last season	8 of 1362%needs 50% to break even	39%–80%	12 points betterwon 62%, needs 50%
Every game	13 of 2065%needs 50% to break even	47%–80%	15 points betterwon 65%, needs 50%

Games like tonight

Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.

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Every book's price

Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.

USC Trojans @ Wisconsin Badgers: over 50.513 books

Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.

Every game behind it

Total points in each game against over 50.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.

Date	Opponent	Total points	Beat 50.5 by	Bet
This season
Oct 10	PSU	54	+3.5	Won
Oct 3	WASH	46	-4.5	Lost
Sep 26	ORE	68	+17.5	Won
Sep 19	RUTG	77	+26.5	Won
Sep 12	UL	79	+28.5	Won
Sep 4	FRES	39	-11.5	Lost
Aug 29	SJSU	68	+17.5	Won
Last season
Dec 30	TCU	57	+6.5	Won
Nov 29	UCLA	39	-11.5	Lost
Nov 22	ORE	69	+18.5	Won
Nov 15	IOWA	47	-3.5	Lost
Nov 7	NU	55	+4.5	Won
Nov 1	NEB	38	-12.5	Lost
Oct 18	ND	58	+7.5	Won
Oct 11	MICH	44	-6.5	Lost
Sep 27	ILL	66	+15.5	Won
Sep 20	MSU	76	+25.5	Won
Sep 13	PUR	50	-0.5	Lost
Sep 6	GASO	79	+28.5	Won
Aug 30	MOST	86	+35.5	Won

Every number on this bet

The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.

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The opposite bet

The numbers the books are posting on the other side.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score	Details
Under 50.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET	NV-108at Novig	6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even		-29.8Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.

More on USC Trojans in this game

This team's other lines in the game.

Bet	Best price	How often it won	Last 10 games	Trend score
USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET	PX+101at ProphetX	6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even	Record is this season's	-1.1Not beating its price
USC to win moneylineUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET	NV-138at Novig	6 of 7· this season86%needs 58% to break even	Record is this season's	-7.7Not beating its price
USC -0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET	-121at Kalshi	4 of 7· this season57%needs 55% to break even	Record is this season's	-25.6Not beating its price
USC +0.5 1st half spreadUSC Trojans · Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET	-183at Kalshi	5 of 7· this season71%needs 65% to break even	Record is this season's	-28.0Not beating its price

Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.