This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 37% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 37% to break even | 5%–56% | 17 points shortwon 20%, needs 37% | levelpoints |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 37% to break even | 19%–65% | 3 points betterwon 40%, needs 37% | won by 1.7points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 37% to break even | 17%–54% | 4 points shortwon 33%, needs 37% | won by 0.9points |
| This season | 3 of 743%needs 37% to break even | 19%–71% | 6 points betterwon 43%, needs 37% | won by 2points |
| Last season |
Tonight USC plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WIS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 0 of 7 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1st quarter margin in each game against USC -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1st quarter margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET |
| 15%–54% |
| 6 points shortwon 31%, needs 37% |
| won by 2.4points |
| Every game | 7 of 2035%needs 37% to break even | 20%–53% | 2 points shortwon 35%, needs 37% | won by 2.3points |
| Oct 10 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Aug 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 15 | +11.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| -164at Polymarket |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even6 of 7 on the road |
| Won last 12 in a row |
| 8.6Strong |
| USC -3.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +121at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 45% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | 2.5Slight |
| Over 26.5 team totalUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 52% to break even5 of 7 on the road | 1.9Slight |
| Over 53.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 42% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -0.8Not beating its price |
| USC -3 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | LVG+100at LowVig | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 50% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Over 51.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even5 of 7 on the road | -4.8Not beating its price |
| USC -2.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 54% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| USC -6.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 40% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| USC -4.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 43% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 55.5 game total, USC gamesUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 37% to break even4 of 7 on the road | -5.3Not beating its price |
| USC -5.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 5 of 7· this season71%needs 41% to break even3 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| USC -1.5 spreadUSC Trojans · Today 7:30 PM ET | -129at Polymarket | 6 of 7· this season86%needs 56% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is this season's | -6.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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