This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 43% to break even | 27%–86% | 17 points betterwon 60%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 43% to break even | 44%–87% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 43% to break even | 46%–83% | 24 points betterwon 67%, needs 43% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 43% to break even | 41%–90% | 29 points betterwon 71%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 11 of 1669%needs 43% to break even | 48%–84% | 26 points betterwon 69%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 16 of 2370%needs 43% to break even | 52%–83% | 27 points betterwon 70%, needs 43% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IU points in each game against over 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU -9.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 15 |
| -12.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 47 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | 29 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 55 | +27.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 52 | +24.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 56 | +28.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | 38 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 13 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 56 | +28.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 31 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 55 | +27.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 56 | +28.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 38 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 30 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 63 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 73 | +45.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 56 | +28.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 35% to break even |
| -21.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even | -36.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 63% to break even | -39.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 16· last season75%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.1Strong |
| IU -7.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.5Strong |
| IU -6.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| IU -4.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| IU -5.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| IU -13.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| IU -11.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| IU -3.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| IU -10.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.0Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.