This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 49% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 49% to break even | 27%–86% | 11 points betterwon 60%, needs 49% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 49% to break even | 54%–93% | 31 points betterwon 80%, needs 49% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 49% to break even | 52%–87% | 24 points betterwon 73%, needs 49% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 49% to break even | 41%–90% | 22 points betterwon 71%, needs 49% |
| Last season | 12 of 1675%needs 49% to break even | 55%–88% | 26 points betterwon 75%, needs 49% |
| Every game | 17 of 2374%needs 49% to break even | 57%–86% | 25 points betterwon 74%, needs 49% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1H margin in each game against iu 1h -5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| -3 |
| -8.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | -7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 23 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | 12 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +8.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 41 | +35.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 18 | +12.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 28 | +22.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | 17 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | -4 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 25 | +19.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 17 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 32 | +26.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 11 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 0 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 25 | +19.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 45 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 15 | +9.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 10 | +4.5 | Won |
| 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.4Not beating its price |
| IU -13.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| IU -11.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -151at Polymarket | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.7Not beating its price |
| IU -10.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Over 45.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.2Not beating its price |
| IU -2.5 2nd quarter spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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