This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 73% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 73% to break even | 44%–95% | 7 points betterwon 80%, needs 73% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 73% to break even | 65%–98% | 17 points betterwon 90%, needs 73% |
| Last 15 games | 14 of 1593%needs 73% to break even | 75%–98% | 21 points betterwon 93%, needs 73% |
| This season | 6 of 786%needs 73% to break even | 55%–97% | 13 points betterwon 86%, needs 73% |
| Last season | 16 of 16100%needs 73% to break even | 86%–100% | 27 points betterwon 100%, needs 73% |
| Every game | 22 of 2396%needs 73% to break even | 83%–99% | 23 points betterwon 96%, needs 73% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against iu to win, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 0 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | -4 | -4 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 32 | +32 | Won | |
| Sep 25 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +38 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 55 | +55 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 36 | +36 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | 6 | +6 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 34 | +34 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 35 | +35 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 53 | +53 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +24 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +3 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 45 | +45 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 50 | +50 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 25 | +25 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 10 | +10 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 53 | +53 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 73 | +73 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 47 | +47 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 13 | +13 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.