This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 45% to break even | 7%–46% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 45% to break even | 8%–41% | 25 points shortwon 20%, needs 45% |
| This season | 2 of 729%needs 45% to break even | 10%–59% | 16 points shortwon 29%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 2 of 1613%needs 45% to break even | 4%–32% | 32 points shortwon 13%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 4 of 2317%needs 45% to break even | 8%–34% | 27 points shortwon 17%, needs 45% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
IU points in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU -9.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET |
| 15 |
| +8.5 |
| Won |
| Oct 10 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 47 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Sep 25 | 29 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 55 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Sep 5 | 52 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 56 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 56 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | 31 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 55 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 56 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Oct 18 | 38 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 63 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 | 73 | -49.5 | Lost |
| Sep 6 | 56 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 | 27 | -3.5 | Lost |
| 14 of 16· last season88%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -7.1Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.4Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 30.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 16· last season75%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.1Strong |
| IU -7.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.5Strong |
| IU -6.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| IU -4.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price |
| IU -13.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| IU -11.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| IU -3.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
| IU -10.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +131at Polymarket | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| IU -2.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 61% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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