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NCAAFGame lineSpread
IU -11.5 (spread)
Won11 of 16last season · 69%
Best price+146Kalshi
Price needs40.7%wins to break even
Every game15 of 23this season and last
Trend score-4.8Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 41% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 41% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points shortwon 40%, needs 41% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 41% to break even | 35%–81% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 41% to break even | 39%–78% | 19 points betterwon 60%, needs 41% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 41% to break even | 29%–81% | 16 points betterwon 57%, needs 41% |
| Last season | 11 of 1669%needs 41% to break even | 48%–84% | 28 points betterwon 69%, needs 41% |
| Every game | 15 of 2365%needs 41% to break even | 48%–79% | 25 points betterwon 65%, needs 41% |
Games like tonight
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
IU -11.5 (spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against iu -11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 |  OSU | -4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 10 |  NEB | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 |  RUTG | 32 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 |  NU | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  WKU | 38 | +26.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  HOW | 55 | +43.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  UNT | 36 | +24.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 |  MIA | 6 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  ORE | 34 | +22.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  ALA | 35 | +23.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | OSU | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 |  PUR | 53 | +41.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 |  WIS | 24 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  PSU | 3 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  MD | 45 | +33.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 |  UCLA | 50 | +38.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 |  MSU | 25 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | ORE | 10 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  IOWA | 5 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  ILL | 53 | +41.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 |  INST | 73 | +61.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 |  KENN | 47 | +35.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 |  ODU | 13 | +1.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Indiana Hoosiers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.