This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 38% to break even | 14%–73% | 2 points betterwon 40%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 38% to break even | 35%–81% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 38% to break even | 39%–78% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| This season | 4 of 757%needs 38% to break even | 29%–81% | 20 points betterwon 57%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 38% to break even | 42%–79% | 25 points betterwon 63%, needs 38% |
| Every game | 14 of 2361%needs 38% to break even | 44%–76% | 23 points betterwon 61%, needs 38% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against iu -13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU -9.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| -4 |
| -17.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 3 | 32 | +18.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 38 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 55 | +41.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 36 | +22.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | 6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 34 | +20.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | 35 | +21.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 53 | +39.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 24 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 3 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 45 | +31.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 50 | +36.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 25 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 | 5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | 53 | +39.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 73 | +59.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 47 | +33.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 12 of 16· last season75%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.1Strong |
| IU -7.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.5Strong |
| IU -6.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.4Not beating its price |
| IU -4.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| IU -5.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| IU -3.5 2nd half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price |
| IU -3.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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