This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 53% to break even | 52%–87% | 21 points betterwon 73%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 771%needs 53% to break even | 41%–90% | 19 points betterwon 71%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 13 of 1681%needs 53% to break even | 61%–92% | 28 points betterwon 81%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 18 of 2378%needs 53% to break even | 62%–89% | 25 points betterwon 78%, needs 53% |
Tonight IU plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, against MICH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2H margin in each game against iu 2h -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IU -9.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET |
| -1 |
| -4.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 10 | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 3 | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Sep 25 | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 19 | -4 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | 21 | +17.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 18 | +14.5 | Won |
| Oct 18 | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 12 | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Sep 6 | 32 | +28.5 | Won |
| Aug 30 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| 12 of 16· last season75%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 11.1Strong |
| IU -7.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | 9.5Strong |
| IU -6.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight |
| Over 24.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 14 of 16· last season88%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.2Slight |
| Over 30.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| IU -4.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| IU -5.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.8Not beating its price |
| IU -13.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price |
| IU -11.5 spreadIndiana Hoosiers · Tomorrow 12:00 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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