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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB +2.5 1st quarter spreadGreen Bay Packers · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details |  -119at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.7Strong | |
| 2 | SEA -0.5 1st quarter spreadSeattle Seahawks · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details |  +124at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | SF -0.5 1st quarter spreadSan Francisco 49ers · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 4 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 45% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price | ||
| 4 | CIN +2.5 1st quarter spreadCincinnati Bengals · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -158at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price | ||
| 5 | KC +0.5 1st quarter spreadKansas City Chiefs · KC @ SEA · Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -154at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 61% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | MIN -2.5 1st quarter spreadMinnesota Vikings · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 51% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price | ||
| 7 | NYG +3.5 1st quarter spreadNew York Giants · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -134at Polymarket | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price | |
| 8 | IND +3.5 1st quarter spreadIndianapolis Colts · IND @ MIN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -183at Kalshi | 15 of 17· last season88%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.9Not beating its price | |
| 9 | MIA +0.5 1st quarter spreadMiami Dolphins · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| 10 | BAL +0.5 1st quarter spreadBaltimore Ravens · CIN @ BAL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -175at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 64% to break even | -15.4Not beating its price | ||
| 11 | ATL +0.5 1st quarter spreadAtlanta Falcons · SF @ ATL · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -148at Kalshi | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| 12 | TEN +0.5 1st quarter spreadTennessee Titans · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -161at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 62% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | PIT -0.5 1st quarter spreadPittsburgh Steelers · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 9 of 18· last season50%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price | |
| 14 | ARI +0.5 1st quarter spreadArizona Cardinals · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -137at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price | |
| 15 | TB +0.5 1st quarter spreadTampa Bay Buccaneers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -154at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 61% to break even | -18.9Not beating its price | ||
| 16 | CAR -2.5 1st quarter spreadCarolina Panthers · TB @ CAR · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +131at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 43% to break even | -19.1Not beating its price | ||
| 17 | DEN -0.5 1st quarter spreadDenver Broncos · DEN @ ARI · Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +105at Kalshi | 9 of 19· last season47%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.6Not beating its price | |
| 18 | LAR -0.5 1st quarter spreadLos Angeles Rams · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.3Not beating its price | |
| 19 | DAL -2.5 1st quarter spreadDallas Cowboys · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 48% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | HOU -3.5 1st quarter spreadHouston Texans · NYG @ HOU · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +119at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 46% to break even | -23.6Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | LV +0.5 1st quarter spreadLas Vegas Raiders · LAR @ LV · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | -23.8Not beating its price | |
| 22 | PHI +2.5 1st quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · DAL @ PHI · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -142at Kalshi | 14 of 18· last season78%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price | |
| 23 | DET -3.5 1st quarter spreadDetroit Lions · GB @ DET · Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +146at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 41% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price | |
| 24 | CLE -0.5 1st quarter spreadCleveland Browns · CLE @ TEN · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price | |
| 25 | NYJ -2.5 1st quarter spreadNew York Jets · MIA @ NYJ · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 48% to break even | -32.8Not beating its price | ||
| 26 | NO +0.5 1st quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints · PIT @ NO · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET · 1 more number in Details | -142at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 59% to break even | -43.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work