This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 60% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 60% to break even | 5%–56% | 40 points shortwon 20%, needs 60% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 60% to break even | 27%–73% | 10 points shortwon 50%, needs 60% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 60% to break even | 33%–72% | 6 points shortwon 53%, needs 60% |
| This season | 1 of 617%needs 60% to break even | 4%–50% | 43 points shortwon 17%, needs 60% |
| Last season | 14 of 1878%needs 60% to break even | 59%–90% | 18 points betterwon 78%, needs 60% |
| Every game | 15 of 2463%needs 60% to break even | 46%–77% | 3 points betterwon 63%, needs 60% |
Tonight PHI plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
1Q margin in each game against phi 1q +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI +3.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET |
| -3 |
| -0.5 |
| Lost |
| Oct 11 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 11 | -1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | -4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | 14 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 3 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 9 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 | 11 | +13.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 | 7 | +9.5 | Won |
| Sep 4 | 0 | +2.5 | Won |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even |
| 10.0Strong |
| PHI +4.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 63% to break even | 7.8Good |
| PHI +0.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | 7.1Good |
| PHI +1.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 55% to break even | Record is this season's | 6.3Good |
| Under 47.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 15 of 15· last 15 games100%needs 63% to break even | 5.6Good |
| PHI +2.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 57% to break even | Record is this season's | 4.7Good |
| PHI +6.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 4.6Good |
| Under 46.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 60% to break even | 3.1Good |
| PHI +3.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 66% to break even | 1.7Slight |
| PHI -0.5 2nd quarter spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 40% to break even | Record is this season's | 1.2Slight |
| Under 44.5 game total, PHI gamesPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | NV-106at Novig | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | 1.1Slight |
| PHI -2.5 1st half spreadPhiladelphia Eagles · Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 34% to break even | 0.3Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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