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NFLGame line1st quarter spread
IND 1Q +3.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won15 of 17last season · 88%
Best price-183Kalshi
Price needs64.7%wins to break even
Every game19 of 23this season and last
Trend score-11.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 65% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 65% to break even | 44%–95% | 15 points betterwon 80%, needs 65% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 65% to break even | 44%–87% | 5 points betterwon 70%, needs 65% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 65% to break even | 52%–87% | 9 points betterwon 73%, needs 65% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 65% to break even | 35%–88% | 2 points betterwon 67%, needs 65% |
| Last season | 15 of 1788%needs 65% to break even | 70%–96% | 24 points betterwon 88%, needs 65% |
| Every game | 19 of 2383%needs 65% to break even | 66%–92% | 18 points betterwon 83%, needs 65% |
Games like tonight
Tonight IND plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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IND 1Q +3.5 (1st quarter spread)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against ind 1q +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  TEN | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  PIT | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  WSH | -6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  HOU | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  KC | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  BAL | -8 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | HOU | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  JAX | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  SF | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SEA | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | JAX | -7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | HOU | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | KC | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  ATL | 6 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | PIT | 7 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | TEN | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  LAC | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Oct 12 |  ARI | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  LV | -3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 28 |  LAR | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Sep 21 | TEN | 14 | +17.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  DEN | -1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 7 |  MIA | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Indianapolis Colts in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.