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NFLGame line1st quarter spread
MIN 1Q -2.5 (1st quarter spread)
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-103Kalshi
Price needs50.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 22this season and last
Trend score-11.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 51% to break even | 46%–83% | 16 points betterwon 67%, needs 51% |
| This season | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 8 of 1747%needs 51% to break even | 29%–66% | 4 points shortwon 47%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 51% to break even | 33%–67% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIN 1Q -2.5 (1st quarter spread)2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1Q margin in each game against min 1q -2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1Q margin | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 11 |  NO | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 4 |  MIA | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 27 |  TB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 20 |  CHI | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 |  GB | -6 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | GB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 |  DET | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  NYG | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  DAL | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  WSH | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  SEA | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | GB | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 | CHI | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 |  BAL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | DET | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 23 |  LAC | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 |  PHI | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 |  CLE | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  PIT | -4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  CIN | 14 | +11.5 | Won |
| Sep 14 |  ATL | -6 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 8 | CHI | -7 | -9.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Minnesota Vikings in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.