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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend counts every recent game, whoever the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Over 196.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · IND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 6 more numbers in DetailsWithout Warren (TE) |  -114at DraftKings | 12 of 13· last season92%needs 53% to break even7 of 9 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.0Not beating its price | |
| 2 | Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsTyler Shough · PIT @ NO · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET · 9 more numbers in Details | +142at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 41% to break even4 of 7 at home | -4.3Not beating its price | ||
| 3 | Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -112at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.9Not beating its price | |
| 4 | Under 195.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · CLE @ TEN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -114at DraftKings | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is this season's | -9.5Not beating its price | |
| 5 | Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsMichael Penix Jr. · SF @ ATL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | -166at DraftKings | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 62% to break even5 of 6 at home | Record is this season's | -11.7Not beating its price | |
| 6 | Over 279.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +121at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home | -12.3Not beating its price | ||
| 7 | Over 279.5 pass + rush yardsBrock Purdy · SF @ ATL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in DetailsWithout Evans and Samuel | +125at DraftKings | 6 of 11· last season55%needs 44% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Under 237.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · TB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -113at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| 9 | Under 229.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · MIA @ NYJ · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -112at DraftKings | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | -16.0Not beating its price | ||
| 10 | Under 268.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · NYG @ HOU · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 1 more number in DetailsWithout Montgomery (RB) | -113at DraftKings | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.3Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Under 267.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · TB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -114at DraftKings | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.6Not beating its price | |
| 12 | Over 268.5 pass + rush yardsJoe Burrow · CIN @ BAL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details |  -114at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 53% to break even4 of 7 on the road | -17.0Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | Over 249.5 pass + rush yardsGeno Smith · MIA @ NYJ · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +144at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 41% to break even4 of 10 at home | -17.1Not beating its price | ||
| 14 | Over 234.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · PIT @ NO · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET · 6 more numbers in DetailsWithout Skowronek (WR) |  -114at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 on the road | -18.4Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | Over 261.5 pass + rush yardsC.J. Stroud · NYG @ HOU · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in DetailsWithout Montgomery (RB) | -114at BetRivers | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is this season's | -18.7Not beating its price | |
| 16 | Under 271.5 pass + rush yardsJoe Burrow · CIN @ BAL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -112at DraftKings | 5 of 8· last season63%needs 53% to break even4 of 7 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.0Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · TB @ CAR · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in DetailsListed questionable | -178at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 64% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| 18 | Over 249.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · NYG @ HOU · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 6 more numbers in Details | +142at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 41% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -21.7Not beating its price | ||
| 19 | Under 264.5 pass + rush yardsBrock Purdy · SF @ ATL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 3 more numbers in DetailsWithout Evans and Samuel | -112at DraftKings | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -21.8Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | Under 235.5 pass + rush yardsMichael Penix Jr. · SF @ ATL · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -112at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even2 of 6 at home | -22.1Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | Under 239.5 pass + rush yardsAaron Rodgers · PIT @ NO · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET · 1 more number in DetailsWithout Skowronek (WR) | -114at DraftKings | 12 of 17· last season71%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| 22 | Over 209.5 pass + rush yardsCam Ward · CLE @ TEN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | +125at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 44% to break even6 of 12 at home | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| 23 | Under 203.5 pass + rush yardsDaniel Jones · IND @ MIN · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in DetailsWithout Warren (TE) | -115at BetRivers | 5 of 10· last 10 games50%needs 53% to break even3 of 9 on the road | -31.0Not beating its price | ||
| 24 | Under 250.5 pass + rush yardsTyler Shough · PIT @ NO · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET · 3 more numbers in Details | -114at DraftKings | 4 of 11· last season36%needs 53% to break even2 of 7 at home | Record is last season's | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work