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NFLPlayer propPass + rush yards
Baker Mayfield under 237.5 pass + rush yards
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-113DraftKings
Price needs53.1%wins to break even
Every game11 of 20this season and last
Trend score-14.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 255.2passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% | 219.3passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 221.9passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 2 of 367%needs 53% to break even | 25%–92% | 14 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% | 226.7passing and rushing yards |
| Last season | 9 of 1753%needs 53% to break even | 34%–71% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% | 239.7passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 11 of 2055%needs 53% to break even | 37%–72% | 2 points betterwon 55%, needs 53% | 237.8passing and rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight TB plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against CAR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 6 of 10 on the road. Tonight: CAR allows 266.2 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 12th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4). How CAR defends quarterbacks
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Baker Mayfield under 237.5 pass + rush yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pass + rush yards in each game against under 237.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass + rush yards | Beat 237.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 3 |  MIN | 223 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  CLE | 211 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  CIN | 246 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  CAR | 234 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 |  MIA | 362 | -124.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 | CAR | 194 | +43.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  ATL | 278 | -40.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 |  NO | 164 | +73.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  ARI | 221 | +16.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 |  LAR | 60 | +177.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  BUF | 212 | +25.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  NE | 273 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | NO | 152 | +85.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 |  DET | 228 | +9.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  SF | 270 | -32.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 |  SEA | 394 | -156.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  PHI | 302 | -64.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  NYJ | 277 | -39.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  HOU | 248 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | ATL | 206 | +31.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -178at DraftKings | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 64% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 224.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -154at FanDuel | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 61% to break even5 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 229.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -137at DraftKings | 9 of 17· last season53%needs 58% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 235.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 237.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -112at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 239.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | -107at DraftKings | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 52% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 242.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable |  -114at BetRivers | 8 of 17· last season47%needs 53% to break even4 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -29.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 249.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +122at FanDuel | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 45% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 259.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +155at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 39% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -22.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +199at DraftKings | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 33% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 274.5 pass + rush yardsBaker Mayfield · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ETListed questionable | +210at FanDuel | 5 of 17· last season29%needs 32% to break even2 of 10 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Baker Mayfield in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.