This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 170.6passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 53% to break even | 44%–87% | 17 points betterwon 70%, needs 53% | 173.3passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1275%needs 53% to break even | 51%–90% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% | 173.7passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 53% to break even | 12%–88% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 135.5passing and rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight NYG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against HOU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 6 on the road. Tonight: HOU allows 272.3 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 9th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4): a tough matchup for this bet. How HOU defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass + rush yards in each game against under 229.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 8 of 1080%needs 53% to break even |
| 54%–93% |
| 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| 181.3passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 9 of 1275%needs 53% to break even | 51%–90% | 22 points betterwon 75%, needs 53% | 173.7passing and rushing yards |
| Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 | 189 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 128 | +101.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 265 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | 182 | +47.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 97 | +132.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 150 | +79.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 296 | -66.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 155 | +74.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 183 | +46.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 168 | +61.5 | Won |
| -186at DraftKings |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 65% to break even1 of 6 on the road |
| -38.4Not beating its price |
| Over 219.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -145at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 59% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -34.3Not beating its price |
| Over 224.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at BetRivers | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 229.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 232.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 53% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 239.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +112at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 47% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -25.8Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +142at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 41% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -21.7Not beating its price |
| Over 259.5 pass + rush yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +179at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 36% to break even1 of 6 on the road | -17.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +100at BetMGM |
| 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 50% to break even6 of 6 on the road |
| 11.5Strong |
| Under 32.5 pass attemptsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 52% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 10.2Strong |
| Under 19.5 completionsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -120at Fanatics | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 55% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 8.3Strong |
| Under 33.5 pass attemptsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 59% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 5.4Good |
| Under 5.5 rush attemptsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -122at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 55% to break even5 of 6 on the road | 1.9Slight |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 11 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped92%needs 65% to break even6 of 6 on the road | 1.2Slight |
| Scores a TDJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +525at Fanatics | 4 of 10· last season40%needs 16% to break even4 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.1Not beating its price |
| Under 174.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last season70%needs 37% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 199.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 50% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even5 of 6 on the road | -4.2Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 rushing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | -4.9Not beating its price |
| Under 202.5 passing yardsJ.J. McCarthy · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last season80%needs 53% to break even5 of 6 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.