This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% | 314.8passing and rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 263.1passing and rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 53% to break even | 33%–72% | evenwon 53%, needs 53% | 248.8passing and rushing yards |
| This season | 0 of 50%needs 53% to break even | 0%–35% | 53 points shortwon 0%, needs 53% | 314.8passing and rushing yards |
| Last season |
Tonight CAR plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against TB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 7 of 10 at home. Tonight: TB allows 246 passing and rushing yards a game to quarterbacks, the 14th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 253.4). How TB defends quarterbacks
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pass + rush yards in each game against under 267.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pass + rush yards | Beat 267.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 63%–93% |
| 29 points betterwon 82%, needs 53% |
| 206.8passing and rushing yards |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 53% to break even | 46%–78% | 10 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% | 231.3passing and rushing yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 287 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 332 | -64.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 291 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 293 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 371 | -103.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 19 | 288 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 18 | 265 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Wk 17 | 81 | +186.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 211 | +56.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 212 | +55.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 229 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 184 | +83.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 447 | -179.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 130 | +137.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 111 | +156.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 148 | +119.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 204 | +63.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 199 | +68.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 153 | +114.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 129 | +138.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 330 | -62.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 194 | +73.5 | Won | |
| -178at FanDuel |
| 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 64% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| -23.7Not beating its price |
| Over 259.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -139at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 266.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.8Not beating its price |
| Over 267.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -112at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -18.5Not beating its price |
| Over 268.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -19.0Not beating its price |
| Over 269.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even3 of 10 at home | -17.6Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +104at FanDuel | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even3 of 10 at home | -15.4Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +121at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home | -12.3Not beating its price |
| Over 289.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +155at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 39% to break even2 of 10 at home | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 299.5 pass + rush yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +197at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 34% to break even2 of 10 at home | -21.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +750at DraftKings |
| 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 12% to break even4 of 10 at home |
| -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 224.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 36% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -108at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 52% to break even6 of 10 at home | -7.2Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 completionsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 47% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Over 279.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +169at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 37% to break even2 of 10 at home | -9.3Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +265at FanDuel | 6 of 17· last season35%needs 27% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -9.9Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 completionsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -105at BetOnline | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 51% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Over 259.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +103at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 49% to break even3 of 10 at home | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 274.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +150at Fanatics | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 40% to break even2 of 10 at home | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 263.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at BetOnline | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 50% to break even3 of 10 at home | -12.0Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 rushing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 at home | -13.0Not beating its price |
| Over 269.5 passing yardsBryce Young · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +133at DraftKings | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 43% to break even2 of 10 at home | -14.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.