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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Over 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Union Berlin @ FCA · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET · 1 more number in Details |  +126at Polymarket | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 44% to break even | 2.0Slight | ||
| 2 | Over 3.5 game total, SGE gamesEintracht Frankfurt · SGE @ DOR · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | PIN-107at Pinnacle | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.8Not beating its price | |
| 3 | Over 3.5 game total, SGE gamesEintracht Frankfurt · SGE @ BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -109at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.2Not beating its price | |
| 4 | Under 3.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · SGE @ DOR · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |  +100at BetUS | 23 of 34· last season68%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.4Not beating its price | |
| 5 | Over 4.5 game total, MUN gamesBayern Munich · MUN @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details |  +140at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 42% to break even | -9.3Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | Under 3.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · FC Bayern München @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +131at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| 7 | Under 3.5 game total, VFB gamesVfB Stuttgart · BMG @ VFB · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 46% to break even | -12.0Not beating its price | ||
| 8 | Under 3.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · MUN @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price | |
| 9 | Over 3 game total, SVW gamesWerder Bremen · SVW @ FSV Mainz 05 · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | PIN-113at Pinnacle | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 53% to break even | Record is this season's | -13.2Not beating its price | |
| 10 | Under 3.5 game total, BMG gamesBorussia Monchengladbach · BMG @ VFB · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.0Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Over 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · B04 @ TSG · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price | |
| 12 | Over 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Elversberg @ RBL · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -129at Polymarket | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 56% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price | ||
| 13 | Over 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · B04 @ TSG · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN+100at Pinnacle | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 50% to break even | -16.1Not beating its price | ||
| 14 | Under 3.5 game total, RBL gamesRB Leipzig · Elversberg @ RBL · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET · 1 more number in Details | +119at Kalshi | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.0Not beating its price | |
| 15 | Over 4.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · FC Bayern München @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +149at Polymarket | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 40% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price | ||
| 16 | Under 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · B04 @ TSG · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.6Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Over 4.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · MUN @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 42% to break even | -25.2Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | Under 3 game total, SVW gamesWerder Bremen · SVW @ FSV Mainz 05 · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 16 of 28· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Under 3.5 game total, TSG gamesTSG Hoffenheim · B04 @ TSG · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | PIN-112at Pinnacle | 17 of 34· last season50%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price | |
| 20 | Over 3.5 game total, BMG gamesBorussia Monchengladbach · BMG @ VFB · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 57% to break even | -27.9Not beating its price | ||
| 21 | Under 3.5 game total, MUN gamesBayern Munich · MUN @ SCF · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +124at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 45% to break even | -28.1Not beating its price | ||
| 22 | Over 3.5 game total, VFB gamesVfB Stuttgart · BMG @ VFB · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | -134at Polymarket | 18 of 34· last season53%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price | |
| 23 | Under 3.5 game total, SGE gamesEintracht Frankfurt · SGE @ DOR · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price | |
| 24 | Under 3.5 game total, SGE gamesEintracht Frankfurt · SGE @ BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | -105at Polymarket | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.5Not beating its price | |
| 25 | Over 3.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · SGE @ DOR · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | PIN-107at Pinnacle | 11 of 34· last season32%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.8Not beating its price | |
| 26 | Under 3.5 game total, FCA gamesAugsburg · Union Berlin @ FCA · Sat, Oct 24, 9:30 AM ET | -145at Polymarket | 20 of 34· last season59%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -37.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work