This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 50% to break even | 35%–88% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 23 of 3468%needs 50% to break even | 54%–79% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 27 of 4068%needs 50% to break even | 55%–78% | 18 points betterwon 68%, needs 50% |
Tonight DOR plays at home, as the favorite, against SGE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 team totalBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 19 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 13 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | WOB | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 | HDH | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | STP | 5 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | WOB | 1 | +2.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 | HDH | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Aug 31 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | STP | 6 | -2.5 | Lost |
| 11 of 34· last season32%needs 52% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -30.8Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, DOR gamesBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 8 of 34· last season24%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 22 of 34· last season65%needs 58% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -16.0Not beating its price |
| DOR to win moneylineBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | PIN-209at Pinnacle | 22 of 34· last season65%needs 68% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| DOR -1.5 spreadBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 team totalBorussia Dortmund · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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