This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 52% to break even | 44%–95% | 28 points betterwon 80%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 52% to break even | 50%–96% | 32 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 18 of 3453%needs 52% to break even | 39%–66% | 1 points betterwon 53%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 23 of 4057%needs 52% to break even | 45%–69% | 6 points betterwon 57%, needs 52% |
Tonight SGE plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against DOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 16 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 8 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 25 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | WOB | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | HDH | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | STP | 0 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | WOB | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | HDH | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | STP | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | 10 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, SGE gamesEintracht Frankfurt · Sat, Oct 24, 12:30 PM ET | +100at BetUS | 16 of 34· last season47%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.