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BundesligaGame lineTotal
FC Bayern München @ SC Freiburg: over 4.5
Won4 of 10last 10 games · 40%
Best price+149Polymarket
Price needs40.2%wins to break even
Every game9 of 40this season and last
Trend score-23.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 40% to break even | 5%–56% | 20 points shortwon 20%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 40% to break even | 17%–54% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 40% to break even | 12%–65% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 7 of 3421%needs 40% to break even | 12%–34% | 20 points shortwon 21%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 9 of 4023%needs 40% to break even | 14%–35% | 18 points shortwon 23%, needs 40% |
Games like tonight
Tonight SCF plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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FC Bayern München @ SC Freiburg: over 4.51 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Total goals in each game against over 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  B04 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 11 |  S04 | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 19 |  SGE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 12 |  BMG | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Sep 5 |  SCP | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Aug 30 |  SVW | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 |  RBL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 10 |  HSV | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| May 3 | WOB | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 26 |  DOR | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | HDH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  M05 | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  MUN | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 | STP | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  FCU | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | B04 | 6 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | SGE | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | BMG | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 14 |  TSG | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | SVW | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  VFB | 1 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 |  KOE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  FCA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 | RBL | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 | HSV | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | WOB | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | DOR | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | HDH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | M05 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | MUN | 8 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | STP | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | FCU | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | B04 | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 19 | SGE | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | BMG | 0 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 | TSG | 2 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 | SVW | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 13 | VFB | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Aug 31 | KOE | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Aug 23 | FCA | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET |  +131at Polymarket | 21 of 34· last season62%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.9Not beating its price | |
| Under 4.5 game total, SCF gamesSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -172at Polymarket | 27 of 34· last season79%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on SC Freiburg in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCF +1.5 spreadSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 50% to break even | 15.1Very strong | ||
| SCF to win moneylineSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +585at Polymarket | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 15% to break even | Record is this season's | 13.3Strong | |
| Over 1.5 team totalSC Freiburg · Sun, Oct 25, 12:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 37% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.