This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 46% to break even | 14%–73% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 46% to break even | 27%–73% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 46% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 46% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 46% to break even | 22%–78% | 4 points betterwon 50%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 21 of 3462%needs 46% to break even | 48%–74% | 15 points betterwon 62%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 24 of 4060%needs 46% to break even | 47%–72% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
Tonight BMG plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against VFB. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against under 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 game total, BMG gamesBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMG +1.5 spreadBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 29 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | WOB | 0 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | HDH | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | STP | 2 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | 5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 14 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | WOB | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | HDH | 3 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | STP | 4 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 5 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 21 | 2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Sep 14 | 4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 24 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 57% to break even |
| -27.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 game total, BMG gamesBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +169at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -19.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 52% to break even |
| -3.9Not beating its price |
| BMG to win moneylineBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +637at Polymarket | 9 of 34· last season26%needs 14% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 team totalBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -16.5Not beating its price |
| Under 0.5 team totalBorussia Monchengladbach · Tomorrow 2:30 PM ET | +193at Polymarket | 12 of 34· last season35%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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