This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 53% to break even | 35%–81% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1457%needs 53% to break even | 36%–76% | 4 points betterwon 57%, needs 53% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 53% to break even | 50%–96% | 30 points betterwon 83%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 12 of 2843%needs 53% to break even | 29%–58% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 17 of 3450%needs 53% to break even | 36%–64% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
Tonight SVW plays on the road, as the underdog. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Oct 9 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| May 2 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Apr 4 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Mar 21 | WOB | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | HDH | 2 | -1 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | STP | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Feb 14 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Feb 7 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Dec 20 | 0 | -3 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | WOB | 3 | 0 | Tie |
| Nov 1 | 2 | -1 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 1 | -2 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | HDH | 4 | +1 | Won |
| Oct 4 | STP | 1 | -2 | Lost |
| Sep 26 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 3 | 0 | Tie | |
| Sep 14 | 4 | +1 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +3 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 5 | +2 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3 game total, SVW gamesWerder Bremen · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | PIN+101at Pinnacle | 16 of 28· last season57%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVW to win moneylineWerder Bremen · Tomorrow 9:30 AM ET | LVG+335at LowVig | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 23% to break even | -9.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.