This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 50% to break even | 27%–86% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 50% to break even | 33%–72% | 3 points betterwon 53%, needs 50% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 50% to break even | 35%–88% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 14 of 3441%needs 50% to break even | 28%–55% | 9 points shortwon 41%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 18 of 4045%needs 50% to break even | 33%–58% | 5 points shortwon 45%, needs 50% |
Tonight B04 plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against TSG. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total goals in each game against over 3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 game total, B04 gamesBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B04 to win moneylineBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total goals | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 10 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 16 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 2 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 11 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | WOB | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 | HDH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 14 | STP | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 13 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | WOB | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | HDH | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 27 | STP | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 | 2 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 12 | 4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 6 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Aug 23 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| 20 of 34· last season59%needs 53% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 42% to break even |
| -5.4Not beating its price |
| B04 0 spreadBayer Leverkusen · Sun, Oct 25, 10:30 AM ET | LVG-126at LowVig | 4 of 4· last 5 games, 1 skipped100%needs 56% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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