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Trends
Bets that have kept winning more often than their price says they should, strongest first. A trend ignores the opponent, and short runs can be luck.
| Last 10 games | Details | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MICH +3.5 1st half spreadMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 5 more numbers in Details |  -101at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 50% to break even | Record is this season's | 10.4Strong | |
| 2 | MICH +6.5 spreadMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 8 more numbers in Details | +116at Polymarket | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 46% to break even | Record is this season's | 9.1Strong | |
| 3 | IU -6.5 1st half spreadIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 5 more numbers in Details |  +119at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.2Slight | |
| 4 | Over 27.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -0.4Not beating its price | |
| 5 | MICH +2.5 2nd quarter spreadMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 51% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price | ||
| 6 | Under 39.5 game total, MICH gamesMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +137at Polymarket | 5 of 6· this season83%needs 42% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| 7 | IU to win moneylineIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 10 more numbers in Details | NV-264at Novig | 16 of 16· last season100%needs 73% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.6Not beating its price | |
| 8 | Over 46.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +134at Kalshi | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price | |
| 9 | IU -2.5 2nd quarter spreadIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even | -8.4Not beating its price | ||
| 10 | IU -0.5 1st quarter spreadIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -101at Polymarket | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price | |
| 11 | Over 16.5 team totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | -137at Kalshi | 10 of 13· last season77%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price | |
| 12 | MICH +0.5 1st quarter spreadMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -123at Polymarket | 11 of 13· last season85%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.8Not beating its price | |
| 13 | Under 19.5 1st half totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 4 of 6· this season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is this season's | -12.3Not beating its price | |
| 14 | Under 7.5 1st quarter totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | -123at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -19.5Not beating its price | ||
| 15 | Over 7.5 1st quarter totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price | |
| 16 | Over 45.5 game total, MICH gamesMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +129at Kalshi | 7 of 13· last season54%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.2Not beating its price | |
| 17 | Under 39.5 game total, IU gamesIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 7 more numbers in Details | +137at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 42% to break even | -21.7Not beating its price | ||
| 18 | Over 20.5 1st half totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | -121at Kalshi | 8 of 13· last season62%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price | |
| 19 | Under 16.5 team totalMichigan Wolverines · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 1 more number in Details | +109at Kalshi | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 48% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price | ||
| 20 | Under 23.5 team totalIndiana Hoosiers · IU @ MICH · Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET · 2 more numbers in Details | +126at Polymarket | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 44% to break even | -29.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Each record replays today's exact bet over that team's or player's recent games; ties don't count. The order rewards high win rates, more games and stretches that agree, and subtracts what the price expects. How trends work