This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 52% to break even | 65%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| This season | 5 of 683%needs 52% to break even | 50%–96% | 32 points betterwon 83%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 1354%needs 52% to break even | 32%–74% | 2 points betterwon 54%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 12 of 1963%needs 52% to break even | 44%–79% | 11 points betterwon 63%, needs 52% |
Tonight MICH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against IU. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against mich 2q +2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat -2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 17 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 3 | 14 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 26 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 10 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Sep 12 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | -3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Dec 31 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -11 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 11 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 1 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 18 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 11 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 3 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Sep 20 | -10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 13 | 18 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Sep 6 | -7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 30 | 0 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.