This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 48% to break even | 27%–86% | 12 points betterwon 60%, needs 48% | won by 6.6points |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 48% to break even | 54%–93% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | won by 9.7points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 48% to break even | 59%–92% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% | won by 11.1points |
| This season | 35 of 5366%needs 48% to break even | 55%–76% | 18 points betterwon 66%, needs 48% | won by 7.2points |
| Last season |
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last, each on its own: 4 of 10 against GS · 29 of 49 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against ATL -1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL to win moneylineAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET |
| 29 of 4762%needs 48% to break even |
| 50%–72% |
| 14 points betterwon 62%, needs 48% |
| won by 7points |
| Every game | 64 of 10064%needs 48% to break even | 56%–71% | 16 points betterwon 64%, needs 48% | won by 7.1points |
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 24 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 26 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 19 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Oct 17 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 7 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 4 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Sep 30 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 27 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Sep 23 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Sep 21 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 19 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 17 | 44 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Aug 30 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 28 | -18 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 24 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Aug 22 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 20 | 36 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Aug 18 | 15 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Aug 16 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 35 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 5 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | -22 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 31 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 19 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jul 17 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jul 11 | -10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 9 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jul 4 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 2 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 27 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 26 | -3 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | -11 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jun 18 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 14 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Jun 11 | -14 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 9 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | 32 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Jun 4 | -12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 2 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| May 29 | 20 | +18.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| May 17 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Sep 18 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 16 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Sep 14 | 12 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Sep 10 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Sep 8 | 25 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Sep 5 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Sep 3 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Sep 1 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Aug 29 | 22 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Aug 27 | -6 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 23 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Aug 19 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 17 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 15 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Aug 13 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Aug 10 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Aug 7 | 21 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Aug 3 | 16 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Aug 1 | 23 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Jul 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jul 29 | -2 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 27 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jul 23 | 11 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jul 22 | -15 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 16 | 37 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Jul 13 | -7 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 11 | -17 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Jul 7 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jul 3 | -1 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 29 | 9 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jun 27 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 24 | -13 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 22 | 13 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jun 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 17 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 15 | 33 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Jun 13 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jun 10 | 19 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Jun 6 | -8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 30 | 7 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 27 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 25 | 24 | +22.5 | Won | |
| May 24 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | -5 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 16 | -4 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| +107at Polymarket |
| 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 48% to break even4 of 10 against GS · 32 of 49 on the road |
| 3.5Good |
| Over 151.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 46 of 53· this season87%needs 47% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 34 of 49 on the road | Record is this season's | 0.1Slight |
| Over 150.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +103at Polymarket | 46 of 53· this season87%needs 49% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 36 of 49 on the road | Record is this season's | -1.5Not beating its price |
| Over 148.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 48 of 53· this season91%needs 55% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 38 of 49 on the road | Record is this season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 145.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 49 of 53· this season92%needs 63% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 40 of 49 on the road | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| ATL -0.5 1st half spreadAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 30 of 47· last season64%needs 52% to break even3 of 10 against GS · 29 of 49 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 142.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 38% to break even3 of 10 against GS · 6 of 49 on the road | -29.0Not beating its price |
| Under 145.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 9 of 49 on the road | -31.0Not beating its price |
| Under 148.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 50% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 11 of 49 on the road | -32.0Not beating its price |
| Under 150.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 54% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 13 of 49 on the road | -35.7Not beating its price |
| Under 151.5 game total, ATL gamesAtlanta Dream · Tomorrow 8:00 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 58% to break even5 of 10 against GS · 15 of 49 on the road | -38.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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