This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 53% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points betterwon 60%, needs 53% | 32receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 41.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 51.1receiving yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 33receiving yards |
| Last season | 6 of 16 |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 5 of 10 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 155.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 12th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How CLE defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against under 37.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 37.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 21%–58% |
| 16 points shortwon 38%, needs 53% |
| 63.4receiving yards |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 53% to break even | 26%–58% | 13 points shortwon 41%, needs 53% | 55.1receiving yards |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 22 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 53 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 57 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 9 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 38 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 113 | -75.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 19 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 15 | 54 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 13 | 34 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Wk 12 | 156 | -118.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 11 | 36 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 62 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | 46 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 48 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | 95 | -57.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 84 | -46.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 30 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 14 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 26 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 142 | -104.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 55 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| -155at Fanatics |
| 13 of 16· last season81%needs 61% to break even6 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +122at FanDuel | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 45% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +120at BetOnline | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +220at FanDuel | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 31% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +163at BetOnline | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 38% to break even1 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +252at Kalshi |
| 9 of 16· last season56%needs 28% to break even3 of 10 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -4.4Not beating its price |
| Scores a TDWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +400at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 20% to break even2 of 10 at home | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +124at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 45% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 62% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even4 of 10 at home | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -146at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 59% to break even5 of 10 at home | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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