This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 28% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 28% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% | 4receptions |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 28% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points betterwon 40%, needs 28% | 5.1receptions |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 28% to break even | 28%–67% | 18 points betterwon 47%, needs 28% | 5.5receptions |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 28% to break even | 12%–65% | 5 points betterwon 33%, needs 28% | 4.2receptions |
| Last season |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 10.7 receptions a game to wide receivers, the 12th fewest of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 11.5). How CLE defends wide receivers
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against over 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scores a TD |
| 9 of 1656%needs 28% to break even |
| 36%–74% |
| 28 points betterwon 56%, needs 28% |
| 5.8receptions |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 28% to break even | 33%–67% | 22 points betterwon 50%, needs 28% | 5.3receptions |
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 11 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 7 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 12 | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 9 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 8 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 6 | +0.5 | Won |
| +129at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 44% to break even4 of 10 at home |
| -20.3Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -146at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 59% to break even5 of 10 at home | -31.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +400at DraftKings |
| 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 20% to break even2 of 10 at home |
| -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +220at FanDuel | 8 of 16· last season50%needs 31% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -8.7Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +122at FanDuel | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 45% to break even4 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even3 of 10 at home | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -155at Fanatics | 13 of 16· last season81%needs 61% to break even6 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Over 46.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +120at BetOnline | 9 of 16· last season56%needs 45% to break even3 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.3Not beating its price |
| Over 37.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Over 56.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +163at BetOnline | 6 of 16· last season38%needs 38% to break even1 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -22.4Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even4 of 10 at home | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | -24.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.