This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 61% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 61% to break even | 27%–86% | 1 points shortwon 60%, needs 61% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 61% to break even | 19%–65% | 21 points shortwon 40%, needs 61% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 61% to break even | 22%–61% | 21 points shortwon 40%, needs 61% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 61% to break even | 22%–78% | 11 points shortwon 50%, needs 61% |
| Last season | 5 of 1631%needs 61% to break even | 16%–52% | 29 points shortwon 31%, needs 61% |
| Every game |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receptions in each game against under 4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Beat 4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson |
| 22%–54% |
| 24 points shortwon 36%, needs 61% |
| Wk 5 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 11 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 | 7 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 11 | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 9 | 9 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Wk 5 | 5 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | 1 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 8 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| -175at Kalshi |
| 12 of 16· last season75%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -22.2Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +198at Kalshi |
| 8 of 16· last season50%needs 34% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -111at DraftKings | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.2Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 10 of 16· last season63%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 61% to break even | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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