This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | 32receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% | 41.8receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 45% to break even | 28%–67% | 1 points betterwon 47%, needs 45% | 51.1receiving yards |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 45% to break even | 12%–65% | 12 points shortwon 33%, needs 45% | 33receiving yards |
| Last season | 9 of 1656%needs 45% to break even | 36%–74% | 11 points betterwon 56%, needs 45% | 63.4receiving yards |
| Every game | 11 of 2250%needs 45% to break even | 33%–67% | 5 points betterwon 50%, needs 45% | 55.1receiving yards |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 155.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers, the 12th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 150.3). How CLE defends wide receivers
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 46.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 46.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 22 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 53 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 19 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 57 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 9 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 38 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 113 | +66.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 19 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 54 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 34 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 156 | +109.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 36 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | 62 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 46 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | 48 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 95 | +48.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 84 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 30 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 14 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 26 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 142 | +95.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 55 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even3 of 10 at home | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even4 of 10 at home | -23.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | -24.0Not beating its price | ||
| Under 37.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even5 of 10 at home | -24.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Tomorrow 1:00 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 60% to break even6 of 10 at home | -25.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.