This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 53% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 53% to break even | 46%–83% | 13 points betterwon 67%, needs 53% |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 11 of 1669%needs 53% to break even | 48%–84% | 15 points betterwon 69%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 14 of 2264%needs 53% to break even | 46%–78% | 10 points betterwon 64%, needs 53% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 22 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | 53 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Wk 4 | 19 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 57 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Wk 2 | 9 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | 38 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 113 | +78.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 19 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 54 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Wk 13 | 34 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 156 | +121.5 | Won | |
| Wk 11 | 36 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Wk 10 | 62 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Wk 9 | 46 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Wk 8 | 48 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Wk 7 | 95 | +60.5 | Won | |
| Wk 6 | 84 | +49.5 | Won | |
| Wk 5 | 30 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 14 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | 26 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 142 | +107.5 | Won | |
| Wk 1 | 55 | +20.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +173at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price | ||
| Under 35.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 61% to break even | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at FanDuel | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 61% to break even | -32.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.