This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 20% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 20% to break even | 14%–73% | 20 points betterwon 40%, needs 20% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 20% to break even | 13%–56% | 10 points betterwon 30%, needs 20% |
| Last 15 games | 4 of 1527%needs 20% to break even | 13%–48% | 7 points betterwon 27%, needs 20% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 20% to break even | 12%–65% | 13 points betterwon 33%, needs 20% |
| Last season | 4 of 1625%needs 20% to break even | 12%–45% | 5 points betterwon 25%, needs 20% |
| Every game | 6 of 2227%needs 20% to break even | 15%–45% | 7 points betterwon 27%, needs 20% |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 at home. Tonight: CLE allows 1.2 touchdowns a game to wide receivers, the 6th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 0.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How CLE defends wide receivers
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every Wan'Dale Robinson game, newest first: whether Robinson scored a touchdown.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| This season | |||
| Wk 6 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 3 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 2 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
| Last season | |||
| Wk 17 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 16 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 15 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 13 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 12 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 11 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 10 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 9 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 8 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 7 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 6 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 5 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 4 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 3 | No TD | Lost | |
| Wk 2 | 1 TD | Won | |
| Wk 1 | No TD | Lost | |
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.