This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 47% to break even | 14%–73% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 47% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points shortwon 40%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 47% to break even | 33%–72% | 7 points betterwon 53%, needs 47% |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 47% to break even | 12%–65% | 13 points shortwon 33%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 10 of 1663%needs 47% to break even | 42%–79% | 16 points betterwon 63%, needs 47% |
| Every game |
Tonight TEN plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against CLE. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Receiving yards in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 | 22 | |||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson |
| 38%–71% |
| 8 points betterwon 55%, needs 47% |
| -17.5 |
| Lost |
| Wk 5 | 53 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 | 19 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 57 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 | 9 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 | 38 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 17 | 113 | +73.5 | Won | |
| Wk 16 | 19 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 15 | 54 | +14.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 | 34 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | 156 | +116.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 | 36 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 | 62 | +22.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 | 46 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 | 48 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | 95 | +55.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 | 84 | +44.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 | 14 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 | 26 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 | 142 | +102.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | 55 | +15.5 | Won |
| +173at Kalshi |
| 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 37% to break even |
| -16.8Not beating its price |
| Under 34.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 51% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -112at BetOnline | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -115at BetMGM | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 53% to break even | -24.4Not beating its price |
| Under 39.5 receiving yardsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 61% to break even | -25.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +124at FanDuel |
| 11 of 16· last season69%needs 45% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -9.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -175at Kalshi | 12 of 16· last season75%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.2Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsWan'Dale Robinson · Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -154at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 61% to break even | -32.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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