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NFLPlayer propRushing yards
Tyler Allgeier over 30.5 rushing yards
Won7 of 15last 15 games · 47%
Best price-114FanDuel
Price needs53.3%wins to break even
Every game10 of 23this season and last
Trend score-25.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 53% to break even | 14%–73% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 19.2rushing yards |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% | 29.3rushing yards |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 53% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points shortwon 47%, needs 53% | 30.5rushing yards |
| This season | 3 of 650%needs 53% to break even | 22%–78% | 3 points shortwon 50%, needs 53% | 26.2rushing yards |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 53% to break even | 24%–61% | 12 points shortwon 41%, needs 53% | 30.2rushing yards |
| Every game | 10 of 2343%needs 53% to break even | 28%–60% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 53% | 29.2rushing yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 10 at home. Tonight: DEN allows 107.8 rushing yards a game to running backs, the 3rd most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 89.6): an easy matchup for this bet. How DEN defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyler Allgeier over 30.5 rushing yards2 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rushing yards in each game against over 30.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rushing yards | Beat 30.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAR | 38 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DET | 7 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NYG | 42 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  SF | -1 | -31.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 10 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAC | 61 | +30.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  NO | 16 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | LAR | 23 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  ARI | 79 | +48.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TB | 18 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | SEA | 34 | +3.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  NYJ | 20 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | NO | 44 | +13.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  CAR | 10 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  IND | 57 | +26.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NE | 6 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  MIA | 4 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | SF | 16 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  BUF | 32 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 51 | +20.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | CAR | 4 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIN | 76 | +45.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | TB | 24 | -6.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  +102at BetRivers | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  -114at FanDuel | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Allgeier in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.