+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| -235 |
| +180 |
| -110 |
| -113 |
| -105 |
| -118 |
| PRXbetPARX | -235 | +180 | -110 | -113 | -105 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -235 | +180 | -110 | -113 | -105 | -118 |
| Caesars | -225 | +186 | -108 | -112 | -110 | -110 |
| DraftKings | -230 | +190 | -110 | -110 | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -225 | +188 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| FLFliff | -240 | +180 | -110 | -115 | -110 | -115 |
| Hard Rock | -225 | +185 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| Kalshi | -218 | +181 | -103 | -116 | -107 | -112 |
| NVNovig | -203 | +199 | +104 | -106 | -106 | +104 |
| RBReBet | -220 | +183 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
| tStheScore Bet | -215 | +180 | -110 | -110 | -105 | -115 |
| BetMGM | -220 | +180 | – | – | -110 | -108 |
| BetOnline | -210 | +180 | – | – | -115 | -105 |
| BetUS | -210 | +180 | – | – | -115 | -105 |
| Bovada | -210 | +175 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -220 | +180 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| LVGLowVig | -210 | +180 | – | – | -113 | -102 |
| MyBookie | -210 | +162 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| Polymarket | -214 | +185 | -101 | -114 | – | – |
| PINPinnacle | -209 | +181 | – | – | – | – |
| PXProphetX | -205 | +200 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread 0.5% · total 0.2% · to win 0.3%Cheapest books →
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Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +1.5 | 69% chance | -239 | ARI -1.5+198 |
| DEN -1.5 | 63% chance | -187 | ARI +1.5+159 |
| DEN -2.5 | 62% chance | -172 | ARI +2.5+149 |
| DEN -3.5 | 54% chance | -123 | ARI +3.5+107 |
| DEN -4.5Most books' number | 49% chance | NV+104 | ARI +4.5NV-106 |
| DEN -5.5 | 47% chance | +107 | ARI +5.5-123 |
| DEN -6.5 | 43% chance | +126 | ARI +6.5-145 |
| DEN -7.5 | 36% chance | +162 | ARI +7.5-191 |
| DEN -9.5 | 32% chance | +198 | ARI +9.5-234 |
| 56% chance |
| -137 |
| Under 41.5+114 |
| Over 42.5 | 53% chance | -114 | Under 42.5+105 |
| Over 43.5Most books' number | 50% chance | -105 | Under 43.5NV+104 |
| Over 44.5 | 45% chance | +116 | Under 44.5-131 |
| Over 45.5 | 43% chance | +124 | Under 45.5-148 |
| Over 46.5 | 41% chance | +134 | Under 46.5-158 |
| Over 48.5 | 35% chance | +162 | Under 48.5-214 |
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Jonah Coleman | RB | Injured Reserve | Ankle · back ~Oct 25 |
| Talanoa Hufangastarting SS · next up: Devon Key | S | Doubtful | Ankle · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jonah Ellissstarting WLB · next up: Dondrea Tillman | LB | Doubtful | Ankle · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jaylen Waddlestarting WR | WR | Questionable | Chest · back ~Oct 25 |
| Tyler Badie | RB | Questionable | Thumb · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jeremiyah Lovestarting RB | RB | Questionable | Ankle · back ~Oct 25 |
| Budda Bakerstarting SS | S | Questionable | Groin · back ~Oct 25 |
| Garrett Williamsstarting LCB | CB | Questionable | Knee · back ~Oct 25 |
| Carson Beck |
| QB |
| Questionable |
| Back · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jedrick Wills Jr. | OT | Questionable | Illness · back ~Oct 25 |
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6.5 receptionsTrey McBride · ARI | -148at Kalshi | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 60% to break even | Record is this season's | 0.0Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.5 game total, ARI gamesArizona Cardinals |
| 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 34% to break even |
| -0.3Not beating its price |
| Under 41.5 game total, DEN gamesDenver Broncos | +114at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 47% to break even | -0.4Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 receptionsKendrick Bourne · ARI | +166at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 38% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 team totalDenver Broncos | +166at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 38% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 1st half team totalDenver Broncos | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 receiving yardsJalen Brooks · ARI | -115at BetMGM | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 rushing yardsBo Nix · DEN | -107at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 receiving yardsTroy Franklin · DEN | -112at DraftKings | 14 of 17· last season82%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 7.5 3rd quarter totalArizona Cardinals | -131at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 passing TDsJacoby Brissett · ARI | +129at Kalshi | 10 of 14· last season71%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.3Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 team totalArizona Cardinals | -142at Kalshi | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 52.5 receiving yardsJaylen Waddle · DENListed questionable | -110at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsJalen Brooks · ARI | +105at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 1st half totalArizona Cardinals | -199at Kalshi | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 67% to break even | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsMarvin Mims Jr. · DENWaddle questionable: next up at WR | +100at BetRivers | 13 of 17· last season76%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 passing TDsBo Nix · DEN | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsTroy Franklin · DEN | -107at Kalshi | 16 of 17· last season94%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 receiving yardsKendrick Bourne · ARI | -110at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 52% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 2nd half totalArizona Cardinals | -137at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 58% to break even | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 receiving yardsMarvin Mims Jr. · DENWaddle questionable: next up at WR | -116at Kalshi | 4 of 4· this season100%needs 54% to break even | Record is this season's | -8.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.