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NFLPlayer propReceiving yards
Tyler Allgeier under 11.5 receiving yards
Won10 of 10last 10 games · 100%
Best price-116DraftKings
Price needs53.7%wins to break even
Every game21 of 23this season and last
Trend score13.4Strong
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 54% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 5 of 5100%needs 54% to break even | 65%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 9receiving yards |
| Last 10 games | 10 of 10100%needs 54% to break even | 79%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 5.1receiving yards |
| Last 15 games | 13 of 1587%needs 54% to break even | 67%–95% | 33 points betterwon 87%, needs 54% | 8.7receiving yards |
| This season | 6 of 6100%needs 54% to break even | 69%–100% | 46 points betterwon 100%, needs 54% | 9receiving yards |
| Last season | 15 of 1788%needs 54% to break even | 70%–96% | 35 points betterwon 88%, needs 54% | 5.6receiving yards |
| Every game | 21 of 2391%needs 54% to break even | 77%–97% | 38 points betterwon 91%, needs 54% | 6.5receiving yards |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 10 at home. Tonight: DEN allows 33.2 receiving yards a game to running backs, the 16th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 31.3). How DEN defends running backs
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Tyler Allgeier under 11.5 receiving yards3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Receiving yards in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Receiving yards | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAR | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DET | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  NYG | 7 | +4.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 |  SF | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 |  LAC | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  NO | 3 | +8.5 | Won |
| Wk 17 | LAR | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 16 |  ARI | -6 | +17.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TB | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 14 | SEA | 33 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Wk 13 |  NYJ | 35 | -23.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | NO | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  CAR | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 10 |  IND | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NE | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 8 |  MIA | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 7 | SF | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 6 |  BUF | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | CAR | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
| Wk 2 |  MIN | 4 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | TB | 0 | +11.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 10.5 receiving yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  -114at FanDuel | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 53% to break even1 of 10 at home | -42.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 receiving yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  -108at DraftKings | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 52% to break even1 of 10 at home | -41.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Allgeier in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 receptionsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | -136at FanDuel | 17 of 17· last season100%needs 58% to break even10 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | 6.9Good | |
| Under 29.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  +102at BetRivers | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 50% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even7 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 10.5 rush attemptsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  -168at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 63% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | +159at Kalshi | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 39% to break even1 of 10 at home | -21.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 rush attemptsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | +134at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 43% to break even2 of 10 at home | -22.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | -108at DraftKings | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 52% to break even3 of 10 at home | -24.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 30.5 rushing yardsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | -114at FanDuel | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 53% to break even3 of 10 at home | -25.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 receptionsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB | +118at DraftKings | 1 of 5· last 5 games20%needs 46% to break even0 of 10 at home | -35.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.