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NFLPlayer propRush attempts
Tyler Allgeier over 10.5 rush attempts
Won6 of 15last 15 games · 40%
Best price+134Kalshi
Price needs42.7%wins to break even
Every game8 of 23this season and last
Trend score-22.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% | 7.2rush attempts |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 43% to break even | 13%–56% | 13 points shortwon 30%, needs 43% | 8.8rush attempts |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 43% to break even | 22%–61% | 3 points shortwon 40%, needs 43% | 8.9rush attempts |
| This season | 2 of 633%needs 43% to break even | 12%–65% | 9 points shortwon 33%, needs 43% | 8.8rush attempts |
| Last season | 6 of 1735%needs 43% to break even | 19%–55% | 7 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% | 8.4rush attempts |
| Every game | 8 of 2335%needs 43% to break even | 21%–52% | 8 points shortwon 35%, needs 43% | 8.5rush attempts |
Games like tonight
Tonight ARI plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against DEN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 2 of 10 at home. Tonight: DEN allows 24.3 rush attempts a game to running backs, the 8th most of 32 defenses (the average defense allows 21.9): an easy matchup for this bet. How DEN defends running backs
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Every book's price
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Tyler Allgeier over 10.5 rush attempts1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rush attempts in each game against over 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rush attempts | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Wk 6 |  LAR | 18 | +7.5 | Won |
| Wk 5 |  DET | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  NYG | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 3 |  SF | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  SEA | 5 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Wk 1 |  LAC | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Wk 18 |  NO | 7 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Wk 17 | LAR | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 16 |  ARI | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 15 |  TB | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 14 | SEA | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 13 |  NYJ | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Wk 12 | NO | 12 | +1.5 | Won |
| Wk 11 |  CAR | 3 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Wk 10 |  IND | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Wk 9 |  NE | 2 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Wk 8 |  MIA | 4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 7 | SF | 4 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Wk 6 |  BUF | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Wk 4 |  WSH | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 3 | CAR | 1 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Wk 2 |  MIN | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Wk 1 | TB | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 rush attemptsTyler Allgeier · Tomorrow 4:05 PM ETLove out: next up at RB |  -168at Kalshi | 11 of 17· last season65%needs 63% to break even8 of 10 at home | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Tyler Allgeier in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.