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NFLGame line1st half total
Under 21.5 (1st half total)
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-107Kalshi
Price needs51.7%wins to break even
Every game11 of 23this season and last
Trend score-13.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 52% to break even | 44%–87% | 18 points betterwon 70%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 52% to break even | 46%–83% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| This season | 4 of 667%needs 52% to break even | 35%–88% | 15 points betterwon 67%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 1741%needs 52% to break even | 24%–61% | 11 points shortwon 41%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 11 of 2348%needs 52% to break even | 32%–64% | 4 points shortwon 48%, needs 52% |
Games like tonight
Tonight NO plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against PIT. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Under 21.5 (1st half total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
1H total points in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | 1H total points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 18 |  NYG | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 11 |  MIN | 13 | +8.5 | Won |
| Oct 5 |  ATL | 31 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Sep 27 |  LV | 29 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Sep 20 |  BAL | 20 | +1.5 | Won |
| Sep 13 |  DET | 7 | +14.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 4 | ATL | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 |  TEN | 30 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NYJ | 15 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  CAR | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 |  TB | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 |  MIA | 16 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | ATL | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | CAR | 17 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 |  LAR | 30 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | TB | 10 | +11.5 | Won |
| Oct 19 |  CHI | 27 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Oct 12 |  NE | 38 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 5 | NYG | 30 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Sep 28 |  BUF | 24 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Sep 21 |  SEA | 44 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Sep 14 |  SF | 23 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Sep 7 |  ARI | 27 | -5.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -187at Polymarket | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 65% to break even | -25.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET |  -131at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 21.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -112at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 22.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -103at Kalshi | 10 of 17· last season59%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 24.5 1st half totalNew Orleans Saints · Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +159at Kalshi | 7 of 17· last season41%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on New Orleans Saints in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.