+8.5 spread: that team can lose by up to 8 and the bet still winsO 47.5 total: wins if the two teams score 48 or more combined−110 bet $110 to win $100+150 bet $100 to win $150The badge is the book with that price (tap a price to see every book's); green pays more than the bet's chances call forBet types explained →
Outlined is the best price on each side; green pays more than the chances call for. A small negative edge is normal. Tap a price to bet it. What the numbers mean
| Book | Moneyline | Spread | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | NO | PIT -3.5 | NO +3.5 | O 44.5 | U 44.5 | |
| Chance it wins | 62.3%fair odds -165 | 37.7%fair odds +165 | 47.0%fair odds +113 | 53.0%fair odds -113 | 50.0%fair odds +100 | 50.0%fair odds -100 |
| Edge at the best price | -1.1%Normal | +0.7%Slightly good | 0.0%Slightly good | -0.4%Normal | -1.1%Normal | +0.1%Slightly good |
| BetMGM | ||||||
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On Polymarket and Kalshi a contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price is the crowd's chance. Charts follow the home team.
Big single bets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and how much money is on this game. What bettors did, not a reason to follow them.
"To win" chances average the sportsbooks (with their cut taken out), Polymarket and Kalshi. How it works
| -175 |
| +150 |
| -102 |
| -118 |
| -108 |
| -110 |
| BetOnline | -185 | +161 | -102 | -118 | -110 | -110 |
| BetUS | -185 | +159 | +100 | -120 | -110 | -110 |
| Caesars | -182 | +154 | -105 | -114 | -107 | -113 |
| DraftKings | -175 | +145 | -102 | -118 | -110 | -110 |
| Fanatics | -180 | +150 | +100 | -120 | -110 | -110 |
| FLFliff | -190 | +150 | +100 | -125 | -110 | -115 |
| Kalshi | -183 | +152 | +105 | -126 | -107 | -112 |
| LVGLowVig | -185 | +161 | +107 | -118 | -107 | -107 |
| MyBookie | -191 | +148 | +100 | -120 | -110 | -110 |
| NVNovig | -170 | +167 | +113 | -115 | -102 | +100 |
| PINPinnacle | -177 | +155 | +106 | -119 | -112 | -104 |
| Polymarket | -179 | +155 | +107 | -123 | -109 | -105 |
| RBReBet | -179 | +151 | -109 | -120 | -110 | -110 |
| Bally Bet | -177 | +145 | – | – | -107 | -114 |
| PRXbetPARX | -177 | +145 | – | – | -107 | -114 |
| BetRivers | -177 | +145 | – | – | -107 | -114 |
| FanDuel | -172 | +144 | – | – | -112 | -108 |
| Hard Rock | -175 | +150 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| tStheScore Bet | -185 | +155 | – | – | -110 | -110 |
| Bovada | -180 | +155 | – | – | – | – |
| PXProphetX | -170 | +166 | – | – | – | – |
Vig at the best pricesspread 0.2% · total 0.5% · to win 0.4%Cheapest books →
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Bets in this game that have kept winning, more often than their price needs. A trend ignores the opponent, and some are luck.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 rush attemptsKendre Miller · NOKamara questionable: next up at RB | -126at Kalshi | 7 of 7· last season100%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.2Good | |
| Under 13.5 receiving yardsBryce Lance · NO | -108at DraftKings |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 41.5 rushing yards |
| 2.4Slight |
| -117at BetRivers |
| 10 of 12· last 15 games, 3 skipped83%needs 54% to break even |
| -0.1Not beating its price |
| Doesn't score a TDJaylen Warren · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | +101at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 50% to break even | -1.8Not beating its price |
| Over 249.5 passing yardsTyler Shough · NO | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 40% to break even | -3.0Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 receiving yardsJuwan Johnson · NO | +134at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 rushing yardsAlvin Kamara · NOListed questionable | -142at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -5.2Not beating its price |
| Under 58.5 receiving yardsDK Metcalf · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | -111at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsDK Metcalf · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | +107at BetOnline | 11 of 16· last season69%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 receptionsJuwan Johnson · NO | -112at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 receptionsRico Dowdle · PITListed questionable | -130at BetOnline | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 57% to break even | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 1st quarter totalNew Orleans Saints | -107at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even | -6.7Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 1st half team totalNew Orleans Saints | +109at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -7.4Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 receiving yardsJaylen Warren · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | -109at DraftKings | 6 of 6· this season100%needs 52% to break even | Record is this season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| NO -2.5 2nd half spreadNew Orleans Saints | +159at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 39% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 receptionsGermie Bernard · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | +124at Kalshi | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 45% to break even | -8.7Not beating its price |
| PIT -4.5 2nd half spreadPittsburgh Steelers | +189at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 35% to break even | -8.8Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 receptionsBryce Lance · NO | -127at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 56% to break even | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 game total, PIT gamesPittsburgh Steelers | NV-102at Novig | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 50% to break even | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 receptionsJaylen Warren · PITWithout Skowronek (WR) | -154at DraftKings | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| NO +1.5 3rd quarter spreadNew Orleans Saints | -168at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 63% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Over 6.5 receptionsChris Olave · NO | +129at Kalshi | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 44% to break even | -10.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
Polymarket and Kalshi sell the spread and total at every number, not just the one most books use. Each row shows the chance that bet wins, from their prices, and the best price on each side at any book, sportsbooks' alternate lines and fees included.
| PIT -1.5 | 59% chance | -154 | NO +1.5+137 |
| PIT -2.5 | 57% chance | -142 | NO +2.5+121 |
| PIT -3.5Most books' number | 47% chance | NV+113 | NO +3.5-114 |
| PIT -4.5 | 44% chance | +121 | NO +4.5-139 |
| PIT -5.5 | 42% chance | +131 | NO +5.5-151 |
| PIT -6.5 | 38% chance | +149 | NO +6.5-175 |
| PIT -7.5 | 32% chance | +198 | NO +7.5-234 |
| Bet | Chance | Best price | Other side, best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 40.5 | 63% chance | -187 | Under 40.5+149 |
| Over 41.5 | 60% chance | -161 | Under 41.5+134 |
| Over 42.5 | 58% chance | -148 | Under 42.5+126 |
| Over 43.5 | 55% chance | -131 | Under 43.5+109 |
| Over 44.5Most books' number | 50% chance | NV-102 | Under 44.5NV+100 |
| Over 45.5 | 48% chance | +101 | Under 45.5-121 |
| Over 46.5 | 45% chance | +116 | Under 46.5-134 |
| Over 47.5 | 42% chance | +129 | Under 47.5-154 |
| Over 48.5 | 39% chance | +143 | Under 48.5-172 |
Who's hurt, the weather, rest and recent form. Injuries can change up to game time.
| Ben Skowronekstarting WR | WR | Out | Calf · back ~Nov 1 |
| Brandin Echols | CB | Out | Hamstring · back ~Nov 1 |
| Sebastian Joseph-Day | DT | Injured Reserve | Triceps · back ~Nov 27 |
| T.J. Wattstarting WLB | LB | Questionable | Calf · back ~Oct 25 |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | Questionable | Knee · back ~Oct 25 |
| Jordyn Tyson | WR | Injured Reserve | Right Hamstring · back ~Nov 8 |
| Alvin Kamarastarting RB | RB | Questionable | Back · back ~Oct 25 |
| Kaden Ellissstarting LILB | LB | Questionable | Calf · back ~Oct 25 |
| Cesar Ruizstarting RG |
| G |
| Questionable |
| Knee · back ~Oct 25 |
| Anfernee Jennings | LB | Questionable | Knee · back ~Oct 25 |
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